- BTC/USDT at $76,633 (Binance, Oct 10, 2025) with $1.51T cap (CoinGecko).
- Fear & Greed Index at 26 signals oversold (Alternative.me).
- BTC DeFi TVL hits $12.3B across chains (DefiLlama).
Fundstrat's Tom Lee, Head of Research, targets $2 million for Bitcoin—a 2,500% rally from $76,633 BTC/USDT (Binance, Oct 10, 2025, 14:00 UTC). BTC rose 0.5% in 24 hours. Market cap stands at $1.51T on 19.72M circulating supply (CoinGecko).
Fear & Greed Index hits 26, signaling fear (Alternative.me, Oct 10, 2025).
Wall Street analysts fuel interest. This boosts DeFi perpetuals volumes on dYdX (Arbitrum) and GMX (Avalanche). Coinbase ETF inflows totaled $1.2B last week (Coinbase Institutional report, Oct 9, 2025).
BTC Holds $76,633 Support Near 2025 ATH
BTC/USDT holds $76,633 on Binance near the 2025 all-time high of $126,000. Post-April 2024 halving, circulating supply reached 19.72M BTC (Blockchain.com). Glassnode data reveals whale addresses (over 1,000 BTC) accumulated 1.8% week-over-week (Oct 10, 2025).
ETH/USDT trades at $2,266.45, down 0.1%, $273.4B cap (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC). SOL/USDT at $83.57, down 0.3%, $48.1B cap. Stablecoins: USDT at $1.00 ($189.5B cap), USDC at $1.00 ($77.1B cap), all CoinGecko.
DeFi protocols integrate WBTC on Uniswap V3 (Ethereum), volumes up 15% week-over-week (DefiLlama, Oct 10).
- Asset: BTC · Price USD (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC): 76,633 · 24h %: +0.5 · MCap B USD (CoinGecko): 1,512
- Asset: ETH · Price USD (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC): 2,266.45 · 24h %: -0.1 · MCap B USD (CoinGecko): 273.4
- Asset: USDT · Price USD (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC): 1.00 · 24h %: 0.0 · MCap B USD (CoinGecko): 189.5
- Asset: XRP · Price USD (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC): 1.37 · 24h %: -0.7 · MCap B USD (CoinGecko): 84.5
- Asset: SOL · Price USD (Binance, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC): 83.57 · 24h %: -0.3 · MCap B USD (CoinGecko): 48.1
Fear & Greed at 26 Flags Oversold BTC Conditions
Fear & Greed at 26 (Alternative.me, Oct 10, 2025) historically precedes bounces from sub-30 levels—like the rebound from $15,500 in Dec 2022. Bloomberg tracks spot Bitcoin ETF flows. BlackRock's IBIT AUM reached $45B (Oct 9, 2025).
DeFi traders use BTC perpetuals on Hyperliquid, funding rate +0.01% (Hyperliquid API, Oct 10, 14:00 UTC). XRP/USDT at $1.37 (down 0.7%, $84.5B cap), BNB/USDT $616.69 ($83.1B), DOGE/USDT $0.11 (up 2.0%, $16.8B)—all Binance.
Institutional ETF Flows Support Bull Case
Spot ETF inflows doubled to $2.4B week-over-week (Bloomberg ETF data, Oct 10). BTC DeFi TVL hits $12.3B across chains, single-counted (DefiLlama Bitcoin protocol, Oct 10). Pendle (Ethereum) offers BTC yield farms at 8% APY (Pendle dashboard).
GMX perpetuals (Arbitrum, up to 10x leverage) saw 22% volume rise week-over-week (GMX analytics, Oct 10). USDC supply $77.1B aids liquidity. TRX/USDT $0.33, up 0.8%, $30.9B cap (Binance).
BlackRock IBIT and Fidelity FBTC lead with $100B+ combined AUM (Bloomberg, Oct 9). Tom Lee cites halving supply cuts and ETF adoption for his $2M target.
Bear Risks: Key Support Levels to Watch
BTC below $69,000 (2021 ATH) risks $50,000 test on Fed hikes. DeFi perpetuals liquidations up 12% week-over-week (Dune Analytics, Oct 10). Curve BTC pools face impermanent loss (Ethereum).
USDS stablecoin caps $11.2B for hedging. ADA/USDT $0.25, $9.1B cap (Binance, CoinGecko).
DeFi Strategies Aligned with Wall Street BTC Outlook
dYdX V4 (Cosmos) provides BTC perpetuals at 0.02% fees (dYdX stats). Lyra options (Optimism) price BTC upside. Blast L2 bridges BTC liquidity for airdrop farms (Blast dashboard).
EU MiCA rules start January 2026, clarifying DeFi (European Commission).
On-Chain Catalysts for BTC Breakout
Glassnode shows active addresses up 5% week-over-week. Base L2 BTC pools hold $500M TVL, single-counted (DefiLlama, Oct 10). Fed cuts from 4.75-5% could spark rally (FRED, Oct 10).
Whale buys and ETF flows back Tom Lee's bull case. Caps use circulating supply, excluding 1.28M lost BTC (Glassnode).
Frequently Asked Questions
What drives the Bitcoin price prediction to 2,500% upside?
Fundstrat's Tom Lee targets $2M BTC from $76,633 (Binance, Oct 10). ETF inflows and halving supply shock fuel the call.
How does Fear & Greed at 26 impact Bitcoin price prediction?
Index at 26 (Alternative.me) flags oversold. Sub-30 levels preceded rebounds, like from $15,500 in 2022.
Which DeFi strategies tie to Bitcoin price prediction?
BTC perps on dYdX (Arbitrum) and GMX (Avalanche) up to 10x. Pendle yield farms (Ethereum) at 8% APY.
Why do Wall Street forecasts boost Bitcoin price prediction?
BlackRock IBIT $45B AUM (Bloomberg). Inflows lift DeFi volumes 22% on GMX, perps funding +0.01%.